This is the one Tufts has to have. Tomorrow against Colby on Zimman Field, the Jumbos have a chance to snap a 21-game losing streak dating back to Sept. 25, 2010.
It’s been a nightmarish year so far, culminating most recently in a 51-7 loss to Amherst last Saturday. A win on Senior Day could flip the script of the entire season and provide concrete evidence that the program is headed in the right direction.
The Jumbos will host a Mules squad that is 1-5 and earned its lone win against Hamilton two weeks ago in wild, comeback fashion. Last weekend, Colby lost 31-6 to Bates, which beat Tufts 31-23 on Homecoming.
After tomorrow, the Jumbos have just one game remaining against 5-1 Middlebury. In other words, a loss to Colby would appear to leave Tufts destined for a second consecutive winless season.
Here’s what the Jumbos have to do tomorrow to avoid that fate:
Air it out
The Mules are ranked last in the NESCAC in pass defense, allowing 232 yards per game through the air. Meanwhile, senior quarterback John Dodds and the Jumbos have the league’s second-ranked pass offense.
Still, the Jumbos are averaging a league low 11.3 points, largely because they’ve been unable to break any big plays. Their longest pass play from scrimmage this season is 29 yards, and Dodds is averaging just 8.5 yards per completion.
On several occasions, the Jumbos have turned to trick plays in search of big gains. But two flea flicker tries have been unsuccessful, including one that led to a turnover. In addition, in the few instances when Dodds has attempted to throw the ball downfield, his passes have either been well-covered or overthrown.
Nonetheless, the first-year starter has developed strong connections with his receivers, including senior tri-captain Dylan Haas and, more recently, senior Marty Finnegan. If Dodds can find a rhythm with his favorite targets, the Jumbos may be able to exploit a lackluster Colby secondary.
Pressure Ciero
Colby’s freshman quarterback Justin Ciero was thrown into the fire this year, and he’s done an admirable job leading the Mules offense. He ranks fifth in the conference in passing efficiency and has also carried the ball 14 times per game. Still, Colby is last in the NESCAC in total offense and does not have any receivers with 20-plus catches. If the Jumbos can throw Ciero off his game, they will be in good shape.
Tufts has struggled to get to quarterbacks in its first six games, posting a league-low four sacks, and in the past three weeks the defensive line has looked overmatched against Trinity, Williams and Amherst. Against Colby, the D-line needs to step up, whether it’s one of the three seniors — Zak Kline, Curtis Yancy or tri-captain Chris Toole – or an underclassman, such as freshman Evan Anthony or sophomore James Brao. Yancy looked good against Amherst last week, and the underclassmen continue to improve.
Tomorrow, it will be the defensive line’s job to make Ciero as uncomfortable as possible. Without him, the Mules have little to fall back on.
Be resilient
In the end, tomorrow’s game will come down to who executes the plays. But when you haven’t won in over two years, mental fortitude becomes a factor. If Tufts falls behind, it will be crucial for the players to keep an even keel.
Two of the best quarters of football the Jumbos have played this season came in the respective first periods of their two worst losses, against Amherst and Trinity. Earlier in the year, though, Tufts struggled early in games: In Week 1 they fell behind Wesleyan 21-0, and the next week they trailed 14-0 early against Bates. Both times, they never caught up.
As head coach Jay Civetti noted after last week’s blowout loss at Amherst, his team’s resiliency has been tested. How will the players respond? At 12:30 pm tomorrow, they will try to throw the first six games of the season — not to mention an ever-looming losing streak — out the window and focus on one thing: beating Colby.
Hit a clutch field goal?
Sophomore kicker Connor McDavitt has attempted just four field goals and made two this season, including a 40-yarder against Bates in Week 2. But he’s yet to attempt one in a late-game, high-pressure situation.
Tufts’ all-time field goal leader, Adam Auerbach (LA ‘12), cemented his name in Tufts football lore his sophomore season in 2009, nailing both the game-tying and game-winning field goals to beat Bowdoin on Homecoming.
The question is, when will McDavitt get his first big shot? Assuming the game stays tight, it could well be tomorrow.
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